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So when it comes to betting Derby, I often find myself trying to hard to make big money. The fact is, the pools are so big, even when favorites win or hit the board, there is still money to be made. Take for instance 2015, the year American Pharoah won as the heavy favorite. A $2 exacta paid $72 and that was with another betting favorite in the race, Firing Line. A $2 trifecta that year, with two aforementioned horses followed by show runner, and second favorite Dortmund, paid over $200. My point is, I’ve tried to get too aggressive in betting the Kentucky Derby lately and that stops now….maybe.
Here’s the problem with my newfound strategy, this years Derby is wide open. I honestly believe at least 7 horses can make a legitimate case of winning this race (I will list them below). That means, if the betting public agrees with me, that there will be some really good odds on some really strong horses. Could the favorite be at 4-1, possibly 5-1? I think there is a chance that a horse like Gunnevera, who won the Fountain of Youth but had a tough trip in the Florida Derby before finishing 3rd, could see his odds in the double digits.
So, doing things a little differently this year (to hopefully change up the luck a little) here are my top seven horses listed in the order I have them ranked for the Derby: